Ursula von der Leyen’s summer has been tumultuous, marked by significant challenges that could reshape her presidency of the European Commission. July, usually a calm month in Brussels, turned into a whirlwind of events that tested her leadership. The political landscape has shifted with the rise of figures like Donald Trump, whose policies directly clash with the European Union’s commitment to cooperation and predictable governance. Amidst domestic disputes, global unpredictability, and rising personal scrutiny, von der Leyen has found herself in a position of vulnerability, facing criticisms she previously avoided. The complex interplay of internal politics and external pressures has intensified, making it a testing time for her second term.
Strained relations with the European Parliament have long plagued von der Leyen’s presidency, a situation exacerbated by a recent motion of censure initiated by Romanian lawmaker Gheorghe Piperea. While the motion, which combined various grievances, was ultimately defeated, it exposed the fragility of von der Leyen’s leadership. The backlash from MEPs, particularly those from left-leaning parties who previously supported her, further intensified. The motion forced her to confront accusations head-on, revealing underlying tensions within the centrist coalition. Though she sought a tone of unity and openness, the episode has shown how readily parliamentarians can challenge her authority, with calls for further motions already underway.
Following the parliamentary turmoil, von der Leyen aimed to reclaim her position with a significant announcement regarding the European Union’s budget for 2028-2034. However, her efforts were marred by internal conflicts over budget allocation and skepticism from influential lobbies, particularly the agricultural sector. The unveiling of a €2 trillion proposal, the largest in EU history, was overshadowed by concerns about fairness and transparency in the consultation process with her fellow Commissioners. Despite her appearance of authority, the fractious nature of the discussions highlighted her weakened position, indicating that the budget could face challenges moving forward as she navigates the internal dynamics of the Commission.
Amidst these pressures, von der Leyen’s relationship with China faced scrutiny during a consequential summit in Beijing. The backdrop of strained EU-China relations over trade practices and concerns about China’s partnerships, particularly with Russia, made for a critical meeting. Despite hopes for progress, the summit concluded with little more than vague statements and no substantial agreements, reflecting ongoing friction. Von der Leyen’s acknowledgment of the unsustainable nature of the current trade dynamics underscores the precarious situation she faces. Caught between the need for a strong response and the risk of escalating tensions, her future dealings with China are likely to remain contentious.
In a further demonstration of her diplomatic challenges, von der Leyen dealt with the fallout from Donald Trump’s unilateral tariff proposals aimed at changing the post-war economic order. Her negotiations to avert sweeping tariffs on EU goods led to a controversial deal that many criticized as unfavorable and degrading for Europe. While the agreement allowed for some concessions, the perception of capitulation has tarnished von der Leyen’s image as a capable leader. Critics have scrutinized her for conceding too much to Trump, raising concerns that the deal could haunt her reputation throughout her second term. The backlash hints at a broader challenge for the EU in establishing itself as a formidable power on the world stage.
Looking ahead, von der Leyen faces an array of daunting challenges that jeopardize her vision of a united and competitive Europe. The recent turmoil illustrates the fragile alliances within the EU and highlights the emerging threats from external players like the U.S. and China. As she confronts these dilemmas, von der Leyen must navigate internal pressures while reinforcing the EU’s position in a changing global landscape. This summer’s events could serve as a pivotal period for her presidency, determining not only her legacy but also the future trajectory of the EU amid an increasingly complex international environment.
