The recent re-election of Donald Trump has led to concerns about potential aggressive trade policies from the United States, prompting the consideration of defensive trade tools by European nations. French trade minister Sophie Primas indicated that new trade defense measures were being prepared in case of deteriorating relations between Europe and the US following Trump’s return to the White House. While Europe aims to avoid escalating to a trade war, it also wants to be prepared to demonstrate its strength and utilize protective measures if necessary.
One of the new trade defense tools available to the European Union is the anti-coercion regulation adopted in 2023, designed to safeguard the EU from pressure exerted by third countries. This regulation allows for the implementation of various measures such as tariffs, quotas, licensing restrictions, and limitations on foreign investors’ access to EU markets. The European Commission has been given a mandate by EU trade ministers to engage with the new US administration in a positive manner, but to also be ready to implement countermeasures if dialogue proves unsuccessful.
During his previous term, President Trump imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum, leading to retaliatory measures from the EU targeting specific US products. However, efforts to resolve the dispute over aluminum and steel with the Biden administration resulted in a truce being extended for an additional 15 months, preventing tariffs on trans-Atlantic trade from taking effect. This temporary suspension of tariffs is set to expire shortly after the next US administration takes office, raising concerns about the potential for further trade disputes.
The meeting of EU trade ministers in Brussels marked the first formal discussion on trade matters since President-elect Trump’s victory in the US election, which was accompanied by threats of imposing significant tariffs on goods from the EU. The ministers emphasized the importance of maintaining a positive dialogue with the new US administration, while also being prepared to implement protective measures if needed. The goal is to demonstrate Europe’s willingness to engage in constructive trade relations while also defending its economic interests against any potential threats.
The use of defensive trade tools against the United States represents a significant shift in European trade policy, reflecting concerns about the potential impact of President Trump’s policies on trans-Atlantic trade. The new anti-coercion regulation adopted by the EU provides a range of measures that can be implemented if necessary to protect the interests of European businesses and industries. While the EU remains committed to engaging with the US in a positive manner, it is also prepared to take decisive action to safeguard its economic interests in the event of disputes over trade policies.
Overall, the EU’s approach to trade relations with the United States reflects a balance between diplomatic engagement and defensive preparedness. The positive agenda established by the European Commission aims to foster constructive dialogue with the new US administration, while the availability of new trade defense tools underscores Europe’s readiness to respond to any challenges that may arise. By demonstrating a willingness to engage in dialogue while also asserting its readiness to defend its economic interests, Europe is sending a clear message about the importance of maintaining a fair and balanced trade relationship with the United States.