The battle for Pennsylvania in the race for the Oval Office has been tight, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding the advantage in polls since her debate with former President Donald Trump on September 10 in Philadelphia. Harris’ lead across national polling has grown, with FiveThirtyEight finding her leading by 2.8 percentage points on average. In Pennsylvania, a Spotlight PA and MassINC survey showed Harris leading Trump by 4 percentage points, with a higher favorability rating among voters. Other polls have also shown Harris in the lead, with Morning Consult and Emerson College/The Hill giving her a slight advantage in the state.
Harris’ chances of beating Trump have improved since their debate, with polls showing her ahead of him in Pennsylvania. The Washington Post found them tied at 48 percent, while The New York Times and Siena College gave Harris a 4-point lead. American pollster Nate Silver’s election forecast model has also shifted in favor of Harris since the debate, giving her a 51.1 percent chance of winning in November compared to Trump’s 48.6 percent. FiveThirtyEight’s election simulator shows Harris with a 60 percent chance of winning overall, with a better chance of victory in Pennsylvania.
The positive polling streak for Harris has translated into a boost for her chances of winning the presidency. As of Friday, Silver predicts that Harris has a higher chance of winning in November, with a 53.7 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania. FiveThirtyEight also gives Harris a bright outlook, with a 58 percent chance of winning the state. Overall, Harris remains in the lead in Pennsylvania, with her strong debate performance and public favorability contributing to her success in the critical battleground state.
Harris’ favorability rating among Pennsylvania voters remains higher than Trump’s, with the vice president holding a 49 percent rating compared to Trump’s 44 percent. The positive polling numbers for Harris and her strong performance in the debate have contributed to her lead in Pennsylvania. The state is considered a critical battleground that could ultimately tip the election in November, and Harris’s performance and polling advantage indicate a strong chance of success for the Democratic nominee in the crucial swing state.
The battle for Pennsylvania between Harris and Trump continues to be closely watched, with both candidates actively campaigning in the state. Harris’s lead in the polls and her strong performance in the presidential debate have boosted her chances of victory in the key battleground state. As the election approaches, the outcome in Pennsylvania remains uncertain, but Harris’s current polling advantage and favorability among voters indicate a competitive race that could ultimately impact the overall results of the presidential election in November.
